Browse the publications, analysis, and commentary available on this page.

  1. 1El Niño Forecast & Effect in the Nile Basin June-September (JJAS) 2026NBI Publication
  2. 2From an Egyptian journalist, a misunderstood patriotMahmoud Salem
  3. 3Economy-Wide Assessment of Potential Long-Term Impacts of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) on Sudan. (Dr. Khalid Siddig et al)Dr. Khalid Siddig et al.
  4. 4Who Owns the NileRobert O. Collins
  5. 5Egypt & Sudan Ties: A Hinge or a Siamese JointCommentary
  6. 6The Renaissance of WaterAmen Gashaw on Harvard International Review.

Featured Resources

Access our curated collection of research papers, case studies, and reports.

Report

NILE BASIN SEASONAL HYDROLOGICAL OUTLOOK AND ADVISORY JUNE-SEPTEMBER 2026 SEASON

From the publication: "The Nile Basin, spanning eleven riparian countries across northeastern and equatorial Africa, sustains the livelihoods of over 300 million people through its vast network of rivers, lakes, and wetlands. The basin’s hydrological dynamics are profoundly shaped by seasonal climate variability. Particularly the interplay of the East African Rains in March-April-May and October-November-December and the Ethiopian summer monsoon, and the equatorial lake region circulation systems in the period of June–July–August–September (JJAS) season as the most hydrologically significant period of the year within the basin. The JJAS season typically accounts for the majority of annual runoff generated across the Ethiopian Highlands. The highlands are the primary source of floodwaters that propagate downstream through Sudan and Egypt. The Outlook and Flood Advisory for the JJAS 2026 season has been prepared to provide timely, evidence-based climatic and hydrological intelligence to national meteorological and hydrological services, water resources managers, disaster risk reduction authorities, and humanitarian agencies across the basin.

Authors: Nile Basin Initiative
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Report

Regarding the Dam [By Egyptian Journalist _ Misunderstood Patriot

"Dear Egypt, take heed of this. The world is moving forward all around you, with plans of development and infrastructure to meet its future needs, with the Ethiopian dam being the ultimate proof of that, while you are going nowhere fast and talking about delusional past glories that have nothing to do with current day realities. Ethiopia is not the problem or the enemy; our laziness, stupidity, incompetence and lack of sound planning are, and it simply cannot be allowed to continue. It’s time for you to wake up."

Authors: Mahmoud Salem
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Research Paper

GERD Long-Term Impact on Sudan Economy

Based on a 20% increase in hydropower and an assumed rapid irrigation expansion timeline, the results show that the GERD could help increase Sudan's accumulated gross domestic product (GDP) by US$47-83 billion over the period 2020-60 (excluding initial investment costs and other GERD negative and positive impacts). The choice of crops in new irrigation schemes is key to increasing Sudan’s macro-economic benefits.

Authors: Khalid Siddig, Mohammed Basheer, and Jonas Luckmann
Report

Sudan's Dependence on Egypt: a hinge or a Siamese joint?

Lawerence Ziring in the book titled: The Middle East Political Dictionary describes the historical struggle between successive Egyptian governments relentless influence of Sudanese governments to work on behalf of their subjugators. "Read not to accept nor to reject but to consider"!

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Report

Who Owns the Nile?

This question though raised centuries ago, still needs an answer. FRIENDS' answer is that it is owned by all the eleven riparian countries of this river. Working for the greater common good through trust and cooperation, collaboration, on the international transboundary river law's foundation of equitable and reasonable use without causing any significant harm is what we promote.

Authors: Excerpt from Robert O. Collins book, The Nile
Research Paper

Water Resource Management in the Nile Basin: Challenges and Opportunities

This paper examines the current state of water resource management in the Nile Basin and identifies key challenges and opportunities for sustainable development.

Authors: Nile Basin Initiative
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Case Study

"The Renaissance of Water" (Jan. 8, 2021 on Harvard International Review)

Authors: Amen Gashaw

Featured Videos

Watch informative videos, presentations, and documentaries related to the Nile Basin region and water resources management.

FRIENDS Forum Webinar
Webinar1:25:12

FRIENDS Forum Webinar

Dr. Bilham, a well known geophysicist has extensive knowledge of earthquake phenomena all over the world. Here he shares his expertise assessment of the risk that the GERD has with respect to earthquakes in Ethiopia.

Speaker: Dr. Abate Woldekiros
Date: 7/24/2025
በGICC ጥላ ሥር ሆነው ለታላቁ የህዳሴ ግድብ የሚሟገቱት ባለውለታዎች
Webinar40:00

በGICC ጥላ ሥር ሆነው ለታላቁ የህዳሴ ግድብ የሚሟገቱት ባለውለታዎች

Under the umbrella of GICC, several dignitaries continue to advocate for the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam. Among them is FRIENDS, who was recently featured on Sheger FM for its dedicated support and contribution to the cause.

Speaker: Dr. Abate Taddesse
Date: 8/18/2025
 Ramifications of the Accession of South Sudan to CFA Dr. Salman M.A . Salman
Webinar1:39:20

Ramifications of the Accession of South Sudan to CFA Dr. Salman M.A . Salman

In a stunning development, the Republic of South Sudan announced on Monday July 8, 2024, that its legislative authority unanimously voted to join the Nile Basin Cooperative Framework Agreement (CFA). The presentation will review the intricate history of the CFA, highlight the major differences on the CFA between Egypt and Sudan on the one hand, and the upstream riparian on the other, and discuss the importance and ramifications of the accession of South Sudan to the current impasse on the CFA.

Speaker: Salman M.A . Salman
Date: 10/22/2025
 Presentation on CFA by Dr. Ahmed Adam at FRIENDS 38th Meeting
Presentation1:29:35

Presentation on CFA by Dr. Ahmed Adam at FRIENDS 38th Meeting

Dr. Ahmed Adam is a civil engineer with an experience of more than 40 years in the field of irrigation and water resources management.. Dr. Adam during his term as Under Secretary for the Ministry of Irrigation and Water Resources (1990-2001) had acquired excellent experience in managing the staff of the Ministry (more than 7000 employees) and succeeded to provide the resources for the various sectors e.g. for irrigation, hydropower, industry and others and eased the hazards of high floods of the Nile River and met the water shortage in the dry years. During the first three years of his term, Dr. Adam succeeded to increase the irrigated area by 40% from 2.0 million to 2.8 million acres (1.9 million ha). He was also a member of the National Technical Committee for Renaissance Dam of Ethiopia.

Speaker: Dr. Ahmed Adam
Date: 10/22/2025
Hydropower For Regional Development Dr. Mulugeta Bereded Zelelew
Presentation1:14:50

Hydropower For Regional Development Dr. Mulugeta Bereded Zelelew

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF PRESENTATION: Africa’s population is among the fastest growing and youngest in the world. The International Energy Agency (IEA) has reported that 1-in-2 people added to the world population between today and 2040 will be in Africa. It is also expected that the urban population will grow significantly in the coming 10 to 15 years, in which renewable energy supply is crucial to achieve sustainable socio-economic developments and bring a reasonable living standard in the urban centers. The energy consumption per year per capita in the Nile Basin is mostly below 200 kwh, which is far less than the 500 kwh/year/capita threshold which is considered as the minimum energy consumption for having a reasonable quality of life. Recent data from IEA indicates almost all Nile Basin countries currently cannot provide electric energy for more than 50% of its population. Nevertheless, the Nile Basin region has significant untapped potential hydropower energy. Due to the relatively low production cost of electricity, hydropower is the preferred source of energy for most of the Nile Basin countries. Besides providing affordable energy to urban and rural areas, this also brings opportunities to improve socio-economic development, promote regional peace and security and political stability in one of the fragile regions of Africa. In this presentation, the role of hydropower for promoting regional socio-economic development & mitigating national energy challenges is discussed.

Speaker: Dr. Mulugeta Bereded Zelelew
Date: 10/23/2023
2050 Projection Municipal Water Need in Nile Basin Dr Tiirusew Asefa
Webinar0:12:59

2050 Projection Municipal Water Need in Nile Basin Dr Tiirusew Asefa

How much municipal and industrial water is needed in the Nile basin by 2050? Most consumptive water use discussions in the Nile Basin are centered around irrigation water needs. As countries transition to higher income status in the next two to four decades, municipal and industrial water uses in the basin are estimated to grow exponentially. This talk is about challenges in figuring out future municipal and industrial water demands in the Nile Basin and highlight potential demand and supply management opportunities countries may need to consider in sharing a limited resource. As the region seeks a lasting cooperative solution to share the Nile water, equitable use of water in different sectors come to the forefront.

Speaker: Dr. Tiirusew Asefa
Date: 2/26/2023

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Research Papers

Academic research on water resources, climate change, and development in the Nile Basin.

Case Studies

Detailed examinations of specific projects and initiatives in the Nile Basin region.

Reports

Comprehensive reports on the state of water resources, development, and cooperation in the Nile Basin.

Presentations

Slides and materials from past events and conferences hosted by the FRIENDS Forum.

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